Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000280 0.000313 0.000349 0.000389 0.000435 0.000484 0.000541
2025-04-27 0.000240 0.000287 0.000339 0.000403 0.000478 0.000565 0.000672
2025-05-04 0.000209 0.000262 0.000327 0.000409 0.000512 0.000637 0.000798
2025-05-11 0.000183 0.000242 0.000315 0.000414 0.000542 0.000705 0.000925
2025-05-18 0.000161 0.000221 0.000301 0.000411 0.000562 0.000759 0.001038
2025-05-25 0.000145 0.000208 0.000293 0.000416 0.000590 0.000826 0.001173
2025-06-01 0.000130 0.000192 0.000280 0.000412 0.000604 0.000875 0.001284
2025-06-08 0.000117 0.000180 0.000271 0.000411 0.000622 0.000928 0.001406
2025-06-15 0.000108 0.000170 0.000264 0.000412 0.000643 0.000987 0.001539
2025-06-22 0.000098 0.000160 0.000254 0.000409 0.000656 0.001034 0.001658
2025-06-29 0.000092 0.000154 0.000251 0.000415 0.000683 0.001104 0.001815
2025-07-06 0.000085 0.000147 0.000246 0.000417 0.000703 0.001164 0.001962
2025-07-13 0.000078 0.000138 0.000237 0.000413 0.000714 0.001212 0.002095
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000135 0.000238 0.000425 0.000755 0.001311 0.002323
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000131 0.000236 0.000431 0.000784 0.001394 0.002529
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000126 0.000233 0.000436 0.000811 0.001474 0.002734
2025-08-10 0.000061 0.000119 0.000226 0.000433 0.000824 0.001530 0.002901
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000116 0.000223 0.000438 0.000852 0.001615 0.003128
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000110 0.000216 0.000433 0.000861 0.001666 0.003295
2025-08-31 0.000050 0.000105 0.000211 0.000432 0.000877 0.001730 0.003490
2025-09-07 0.000047 0.000101 0.000208 0.000433 0.000897 0.001804 0.003711
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000096 0.000202 0.000430 0.000908 0.001860 0.003900
2025-09-21 0.000042 0.000094 0.000201 0.000436 0.000938 0.001956 0.004177